Araştırma Makalesi

Politik Risk Unsuru Olarak Siyasi Seçimlerin Finansal Piyasalara Etkisi: 2023 Türkiye Cumhurbaşkanlığı Seçimleri Olay Çalışması

Cilt: 6 Sayı: 2 3 Ocak 2024
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The Impact of Political Elections on Financial Markets as Political Risk Factor: A Case Study of the 2023 Turkey Presidential Elections

Abstract

The aim of the study is to analyze the impact of the 2023 Presidential elections on the BIST-30 index using the event study methodology. When evaluating the findings regarding the impact of the 2023 Presidential elections held in Turkey on the stock returns of companies traded in the BIST-30 index, in the 1st round election is a negative abnormal return while the 2nd round election has a positive abnormal return. According to the research findings, while investors' expectations during the election process were towards the continuation of market stability, the elections proceeding to the 2nd round led to a negative reaction contrary to those expectations. In the second round, the election outcome, which aligned with market expectations, is met with a positive abnormal return in the market. The absence of a study conducted on the 2023 political elections is the originality of the research and its contribution to the literature.

Keywords

Kaynakça

  1. Ali, N. P., & Saha, A. (2021). Market Efficiency of Indian Capital Market: An Event Study Around the Announcement of Results of Lok Sabha Election 2019. International Journal of Financial Research, 12(1), 60-70.
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  3. Bakırtaş, İ. & Koyuncu, C. (2008) “Türkiye’de Finansal Göstergeler Üzerinde Politik Denge Oluşumlarının Etkileri”, İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi. 2, 339-352.
  4. Bialkowski, J., Gottschalk K. ve Wisniewski T. P. (2008). “Stock Market Volatility around National Elections.” Journal of Banking and Finance. 32, 1941–1953
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  6. Brander, J. A. (1991), ‘Election polls, free trade, and the stock market: evidence from the 1988Canadian general election’,Canadian Journal of Economics, vol. 24, pp. 827–43
  7. Brown, S.J., & Warner, J.B. (1985), Using daily stock returns: The case of event studies. Journal of Financial Economics, 14(1), 3-31.
  8. Canbaş S. & Doğukanlı H. (2001) Finansal Pazarlar Finansal Kurumlar ve Sermaye Pazarı Analizleri, Beta Yayın, İstanbul

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil

İngilizce

Konular

Finans ve Yatırım (Diğer)

Bölüm

Araştırma Makalesi

Erken Görünüm Tarihi

31 Aralık 2023

Yayımlanma Tarihi

3 Ocak 2024

Gönderilme Tarihi

23 Ağustos 2023

Kabul Tarihi

26 Aralık 2023

Yayımlandığı Sayı

Yıl 1970 Cilt: 6 Sayı: 2

Kaynak Göster

APA
Karpuz, E., Koç, Y. D., & Demir, O. (2024). The Impact of Political Elections on Financial Markets as Political Risk Factor: A Case Study of the 2023 Turkey Presidential Elections. Turkish Research Journal of Academic Social Science, 6(2), 139-146. https://doi.org/10.59372/turajas.1348877

Cited By

ISSN: 2667-4491

20120

Bu ürün Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International Licence tarafından lisanslanmıştır.

20119